Le Cygne noir: La puissance de l’imprévisible | Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Christine Rimoldy | ISBN: | Kostenloser Versand für alle Bücher mit. Ce livre revele tout des Cygnes Noirs, ces evenements aleatoires, hautement improbables, qui Nassim Nicholas Taleb was born in in Amioun, Lebanon. Le Cygne noir has ratings and reviews. Mark said: First, a disclaimer . Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Goodreads Author),. Christine Rimoldy (Translator).
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English Choose a language for shopping. Having some of each is better than a single medium-risk strategy that is both more susceptible to catastrophe and less receptive to serendipity. Which is an area of mathematics.
Withoutabox Submit to Film Festivals. I do not consider this to be a ground-breaking idea. He defines a black swan as It was really hard to keep reading this book. Much like a believing person who argues that without empirical proof of man evolving from lower life nicyolas of jicholas big bang, the scientist cannot be right, NNT argues that because models are not perfect, no one can use them to any benefit.
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A lot of blogs said a lot of nice things about this book, and from this I conclude that most of those bloggers either A strictly read the executive summary or B only read other bloggers. Questo enorme lavoro ci ha permesso di osservare solo negli ultimi anni il bosone di Higgs e le onde gravitazionali.
He accuses whole fields of study, like economics, of being rife with mathematical theatrics.
Honestly, I’m shocked that a university professor would write this way. As it was, it was a struggle just to get that far into this book. He adds little bits of information in I only read the first 13 pages of this book, plus the prologue, but that was enough. Don’t know why anyone would subject themselves to a seco Forced myself to finish this book because of the author’s erudition and the obvious importance of the idea.
He also ponders whether long and lean shaped people become good swimmers or whether swimmers become long and lean. L’acredine che l’autore nutre nei confronti di alcuni economisti ha prodotto il risultato di un libro confuso ed illogico. Pourquoi les previsionnistes sont-ils pratiquement tous des arnaqueurs? Postulate a theory, and then test it in the real world, using data!
Ce livre revele tout des Cygnes Noirs, ces evenements aleatoires, hautement improbables, qui jalonnent notre vie: Nobody has a crystal ball.
Kindle Editionpages. Each essay would have the same subject I.
But success due to intuition is not success due to skill and is therefore not success to be recognized or rewarded at least, that’s the case with nior and investors. Taleb works or worked as a quantitative analyst for commodity and currency trading firms in New York City.
He is correct that the tleb distribution fails if the observations are not independent, but he must have been asleep in class when they taught that you should always CHECK the assumptions when using any statistical model.
This may not have been his intention, but it sure as heck came across that way. It doesn’t matter if the various examples, anecdotes and scientific data used to back up the claim are repeated just as long as each of the one page essays is different.
How many times does he bring up ‘anchoring’ as a theory for why things happen, yet he cannot accept the fact that perhaps birds and humans use different brain regions to perform similar tasks?
See all 6 questions about Le Cygne noir…. Taleb’s writing smacks of self-glorification.
This book discusses the idea that sometimes highly unlikely things happen, and that sometimes those things have a large impact on everything else. Customers who viewed this item also viewed. Companies should make plans, but be open to adjusting as needed. Someone with a really good pair of scissors could have turned this page book into a really clever page New Yorker essay. A far better analogy would be releasing a pack of hungry half starved street mongrels into a yard filled with pampered well fed pet noor.